IEA offers a modest 4 for 2 deal to the world / Jorgen Randers: dealing with climate change will consume 12% of global GDP by 2050 / Sydney Climate Bonds meet next Mon

The IEA released their new Redrawing the Energy-Climate Map report in London yesterday. It offers 4 measures they say can stop the emissions growth by 2020 at no net economic cost, reducing emissions by 3.1 G - that's 80% of the savings required for a 2 °C path:

  1. Partial removal of fossil-fuel subsidies. Partial means the larger part of those subsidies going to the rich, leaving in place subsidies that help the poorest 20%.
  2. Implement selected energy efficiency policies. That's worth 50% of the 4 measures.
  3. Limit use of inefficient coal power plants - no inefficient coal
  4. Reduce methane releases from upstream oil and gas. Hadn't been thinking of that, but makes a lot of sense.

For that we get:

  1. Global energy-related greenhouse-gas emissions at 8% (3.1 Gt CO2‑equivalent) lower in 2020 than the level otherwise expected.
  2. At no net cost.

Check out the Powerpoint.

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We're holding a Climate Bonds meet-up in Sydney, Australia, next Mon 17 June 16.30. I will brief on our new Bonds & CC survey. Let me know if you want to come along. Teleconference access will be available.

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Limits to Growth guru Jorgen Randers spoke at the Green Growth Summit in Korea today; he's great talent. My notebook shows these six points as most memorable:

  1. Green growth is the only solution to climate change
  2. Population growth will stop within 40 yrs, but not fast enough to stop climate change
  3. We will in fact have enough resources - that's not the big challenge
  4. There will be more frequent and scary weather events leading up to 2050
  5. By 2050 the world will be spending 12% of GDP on dealing with the impacts of climate change (including that scary weather)
  6. Given the huge challenge, we have to do more on mission-driven investment, focused on the needs of society (e.g. Climate Bonds)

See http://www.chelseagreen.com/bookstore/item/2052/ and http://www.2052.info/